Objective: To analyze and predict the changes of health resources and services in traditional Chinese medicine hospitals in Anhui Province, in order to provide decision-making reference for the government and relevant departments. Methods: Based on the data of Anhui Traditional Chinese medicine hospitals from 2012 to 2020, the health resources and service demand of Anhui Traditional Chinese medicine hospitals during the "fourteenth five year plan" period were predicted and analyzed by GM (1,1) model. Results: From 2021 to 2025, the health resources and service demand of traditional Chinese medicine hospitals in Anhui Province showed an overall growth trend. The average annual growth rates of the number of institutions, beds, health technicians, practicing (Assistant) doctors of traditional Chinese medicine, number of discharged patients and annual diagnosis and treatment personnel of traditional Chinese medicine hospitals in the next year were 5.53 %, 6.17 %, 6.70 %, 6.33 %, 5.82 % and 5.70 % respectively. Conclusion: The allocation level of health material resources and human resources in traditional Chinese medicine hospitals has been further improved, but the practicing (Assistant) doctors of traditional Chinese medicine are still in shortage, and the input and output of health resources are in a relatively unbalanced state. It is suggested that the government should play a policy oriented role, improve the talent training mechanism, coordinate the balanced development of input and output of traditional Chinese medicine, and meet the people's multi-level health needs.
JING Qiaoyu
,
TAI Leilei
. Prediction and analysis of health resources and service demand of traditional Chinese medicine hospitals in Anhui Province based on GM (1,1) model[J]. Journal of Baotou Medical College, 2022
, 38(12)
: 81
-85
.
DOI: 10.16833/j.cnki.jbmc.2022.12.016
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